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Ken Wachter - Research

Research Overview As a mathematical demographer and statistician, I study systematic constraints and random influences that shape the structure of human populations. I helped develop methods of computer simulation to understand the rarity of coresident family members in pre-industrial English households. With these methods, I am now forecasting the kin and family support available to new generations of elderly in the Twentyfirst century. Working in "non-linear" demography, I have identified mechanisms that give rise to specific kinds of cycles in fertility and population growth. I am currently interested in patterns of mortality at extreme ages shared between humans and other species, trying to reconcile them with statistical models for long-term processes of evolutionary change.
Bibliography Bibtex File in Preparation
Subjects Biodemography
Formal Demography
Spatial Demography
Tempo Effects
The Future of Demography
Statistical Endocrinology
AIDS and the Elderly
Kinship Forecasting
Census Adjustment
Stochastic Demography
Resources The SOCSIM Program
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