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Note: This is only the first part of the article; this part focuses on assimilation of immigrant workers in the labor force. %TBorjas, George (1994) "The Economics of Immigration" Journal of Economic Literature v.32 (December) pp.1667-1717. (This is an excellent survey article by the leading US economist working on this issue. The emphasis is on the labor market consequences of immigration, although other topics are discussed as well.) %TBorjas, George (1995) "The Economic Benefits from Immigration" Journal of Economic Perspectives v.9 n.2 (Spring), pp.3-22 (you can skip the mathematical appendix on pp.19-22). %TGetzen, Thomas E. (1992) "Population aging and the growth of health expenditures," Journal of Gerentology:Social Sciences 47(3) pp. S98-104. %TGilland, Bernard (1983) "Considerations on World Population and Food Supply," Population and Development Review (June) v.9 n.2, pp.203-212. %TGilland, Bernard (1984) "Book Review of P. 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(1987) "Population Dynamics of Humans and Other Animals," Demography v.24, n.4 (November), :443-466. %TLee, Ronald and Joseph Lau (1987) "The Uncertainty of Population Forecasts: Insights from Nonrecursive Time Series Methods," unpublished manuscript of the Graduate Group in Demography, University of California at Berkeley. %TLee, Ronald and Shelley Lapkoff (1988)"Intergenerational Flows of Time and Goods: Consequences of Slowing Population Growth," Journal of Political Economy v.96 n.31 (June), pp.618-651. %TLee, Ronald (1990) "Longrun Global Population Forecasts: A Critical Appraisal," in Kinglsey Davis and Michail Bernstam, eds., Resources, Environment, and Population: Present Knowledge, Future Options, a Supplement to vol.16, Population and Development Review, pp.44-71. %TLee, Ronald (1990) "Population Policy and Externalities to Childbearing," Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, special issue edited by Samuel Preston World Population: Approaching the Year 2000 (July), pp.17-32. %TLee, Ronald D. 'Population Policy and Externalities to Childbearing', Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, special issue edited by Samuel Preston World Population: Approaching the Year 2000 (July 1990), pp. 17-32. %TLee, Ronald D. (1990) "The Demographic Response to Economic Crisis in Historical and Contemporary Populations," Population Bulletin of the United Nations, no. 29, :1-15. %TLee, Ronald D. (1990), 'The Demographic Response to Economic Crisis in Historical and Contemporary Populations', Population Bulletin of the United Nations, no. 29, :1-15. %TLee, Ronald D. and Lawrence Carter (1992) "Modeling and Forecasting the Time Series of U.S. Mortality," Journal of the American Statistical Association v.87 n.419 (September) pp.659-671. %TLee, Ronald D. (1992) "Stochastic Demographic Forecasting," in Dennis Ahlburg and Kenneth Land, eds, Population Forecasting, a Special Issue of the International Journal of Forecasting, v.8, n.3 (November) pp.315-328. %TLee, Ronald D. and Shripad Tuljapurkar (1993) "Stochastic Population Forecasts for the US: Beyond High, Medium and Low," under review. %TLee, Ronald (1993) "Modeling and Forecasting the Time Series of US Fertility: Age Patterns, Range, and Ultimate Level," International Journal of Forecasting v.9 pp.187-202. %TLee, Ronald (1993) grant proposal to NIA, "The Economic Demography of Inter-Age Transfers," unpublished manuscript of the Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley. %TLee, Ronald D. and Francois Nault (1993) "Modeling and Forecasting Canadian Mortality," paper presented at the World Congress of the IUSSP in Montreal, August, 1993. %TLee, Ronald D. (1993a) "Accidental and Systematic Change in Population History: Homeostasis in a Stochastic Setting", Explorations in Economic History v.30:1-30. %TLee, Ronald D. (1993b) "Inverse Projection and Demographic Fluctuations: A Critical Assessment of New Methods," in David Reher and Roger Schofield, eds, Old and New Methods in Historical Demography, Oxford University Press pp.7-28. %TLee, Ronald D. (1994a), "The Formal Demography of Population Aging, Transfers, and the Economic Life Cycle", in Linda Martin and Samuel Preston, eds.; The Demography of Aging (National Academy Press, 1994) pp. 8-49. %TLee, Ronald D. with Timothy Miller 1994 "Population Age Structure, Intergenerational Transfers, and Wealth: A New Approach, with Applications to the U.S.," Journal of Human Resources v.XXIX, n.4, (Fall) special issue edited by Paul Gertler on The Family and Intergenerational Relations, pp.1027-1063. %TLee, Ronald D. (forthcoming) "Modeling and Forecasting the Time Series of U.S. Fertility: Age Distribution, Range and Ultimate Level," International Journal of Forecasting. %TLee, Ronald (1994b) "Fertility, Mortality and Intergenerational Transfers: Comparisons Across Steady States," in John Ermisch and Naohiro Ogawa, eds, The Family, the Market and the State in Ageing Societies (Oxford University Press), pp.135-157. %TLee, Ronald and Shripad Tuljapurkar (1994), "Stochastic Population Projections for the United States: Beyond High, Medium and Low," Journal of the American Statistical Association, v.89 n.428 (December) 1175-1189. %TLee, Ronald, Lawrence Carter, and Shripad Tuljapurkar (1995) "Disaggregation in Population Forecasting: Do We Need It? and How To Do It Simply," in Andre Rogers, ed., special issue of Mathematical Population Studies. %TLee, Ronald (in press) "A Cross-Cultural Perspective on Intergenerational Transfers and the Economic Life Cycle," paper presented at an IUSSP seminar held at the East West Center Population Program, Honolulu, September 12-14, (1995). Forthcoming in conference volume edited by Andrew Mason. %TLee, Ronald D. and Timothy Miller (1995), 'Interage Resource Flows in the US: A Descriptive Account' paper presented at the 1995 Annual Meetings of the Population Association of America in San Francisco. %TLee, Ronald and Shripad Tuljapurkar (1996) "Death and Taxes: How Increased Longevity Affects the Social Security System" manuscript. %TLee, Ronald (1996) "Probabilistic Population Forecasting" paper presented at a June, 1996, meeting at IIASA, on population forecasting; under review. %TLee, Ronald and Skinner, Jonathan (1996) "Assessing Forecasts of Mortality, Health Status, and Health Costs During Baby-Boomers' Retirement" in Collection of Papers Prepared for a Workshop of the National Academy of Sciences on Modeling Retirement Income Security for the Baby Boom Generation. %TLee, Yean-Ju (1995) "Sibling Comparisons in Adult Children's Support for Rural Elderly Parents in Korea", in this volume. %TLeff, Nathaniel (1969) 'Dependency Rates and Savings Rates', American Economic Review v.70 :886-895. %TLeff, Nathaniel H. 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(Capital and female labor are complements, so capital accumulation raises women's wages relative to men's, raising the opportunity cost of children, reducing fertility, leading to more capital accumulation per head -- a positive feedback loop leading to economic development and the demographic transition.) %TOgaki, Masao, Jonathan Ostry and Carmen Reinhart (1996) "Saving Behavior in Low-and Middle-Income Developing Countries: A Comparison" International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, v.43 n.1 (March). %TOlshansky, S. Jay and Bruce A. Carnes (1994) "Demographic Perspectives on Human Senescence," Population and Development Review v.20, n.1 (March) pp.57-80. %TOlshansky, S. Jay, Bruce A. Carnes and C. 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(1979) Europe in Crisis 1598-1648 (Ithaca: Cornell University Press). %TPartha Dasgupta (1995) "The Population Problem: Theory and Evidence" Journal of Economic Literature v.33, n.4 (December) pp.1879-1902. %TPaul Ehrlich and Ann Ehrlich (1990) The Population Explosion (Simon and Schuster, New York) pp.1-45. %TPaul J. Gertler and John W. Molyneaux (1994) How Economic Development and Family Planning Programs Combined to Reduce Indonesian Fertility" Demography v.31, n.1 (February) pp.33-64. (A careful look at one country.) %TPaul Menchik (1993) "Economic Status as a Determinant of Mortality Among Black and White Older Men: Does Poverty Kill?," Population Studies v.47, pp.427-436. %TPaul R. Ehrlich (1969) The Population Bomb (Ballantine Books, New York) %TPaul Samuelson (1958) "An Exact Consumption-Loan Model of Interest With or Without the Social Contrivance of Money," Journal of Political Economy v.66 n.6 pp.467-482. 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Zimmerman, ed., Economic Theory of Optimal Population (Springer-Verlag: Berlin) :91-104. %TPflaumer, Peter (1988) "Confidence Intervals for Population Projections Based on Monte Carlo Methods," International Journal of Forecasting v.4 pp.135-142. %TPflaumer, Peter (1992) "Forecasting U.S. Population Totals with The Box-Jenkins Approach," in Dennis Ahlburg and Kenneth Land, eds, Population Forecasting, a Special Issue of the International Journal of Forecasting, v.8, n.3 (November) pp.329-338. %TPhelps-Brown, E. H., and S. V. Hopkins (1957) "Wage Rates and Prices: Evidence for Population Pressure in the Sixteenth Century," Economica v.24 (November), 289-306. %TPhelps-Brown, E. H., and S. V. Hopkins (1957) 'Wage Rates and Prices: Evidence for Population Pressure in the Sixteenth Century', Economica v.24 (November), :289-306. %TPolicy Issues for Fertility and Family %TPollak, Robert (1990) "Two-Sex Demographic Models," Journal of Political Economy v.98 n.2 (April) pp.399-420. %TPollard, *** A. %TPopulation Aging, Public Expenditures and the Pension Problem %TPopulation and Economic Development %TPopulation and the Macro Economy %TPostan, M. M. (1966). Medieval Agrarian Society in it Prime: England. The Cambridge Economic History of Europe, v.1. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. %TPoterba, James M. And Lawrence H. 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Elo, Ira Rosenwaike, and Mark Hill (1994) "African American Mortality at Older Ages: Results of a Matching Study," unpublished manuscript of the Population Studies Center of the University of Pennsylvania (November). %TPreston, Samuel 1982 "Relations Between Individual Life Cycles and Population Characteristics", American Sociological Review v.7, n.2 (April) pp. 253-264. %TRachel Friedberg and Jennifer Hunt (1995) "The Impact of Immigrants on Host Country Wages, Employment and Growth" Journal of Economic Perspectives v.9 n.2 (Spring), pp.23-44. %TRam, R. 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When we consider physical capital only, it appears that differences in population growth rates could not make much difference to per capita income.) %TRobert Willis (1994) "Economic Analysis of Fertility: Micro-Foundations and Aggregate Implications," in Kerstin Lindahl Kiessling and Hans Landberg, Population and Economic Development and the Environment (Oxford University Press), pp.139-172. %TRobin Lumsdaine (1996) "Factors Affecting Labor Supply Decisions and Retirement Income" in Eric Hanuschek and Nancy Maritato, eds., Assessing Knowledge of Retirement Behavior (National Academy Press, Washington DC) pp.61-122. %TRodiger Dornbusch and Stanley Fischer (1990) "Growth Theory," a section of Chapter 19, Long-Term Growth and Productivity, in Macroeconomics 5th edition (McGraw-Hill, Inc.).pp.726-736. %TRofman, Rafael (1993) "Social Security and Income Distribution: Mortality and Equity in Pension Plans", unpublished doctoral dissertation of the Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley (April). %TRofman, Rafael (1995) "Moving Social Security Toward Fully Funded Schemes: Who Pays the Cost?", in this volume. %TRogers, Andrei (1966) "The Multiregional Matrix Growth Operator and the Stable Interregional Age Structure," Demography, 3 pp.537-544. %TRogers, Andrei (1986) "Parameterized Multistate Population Dynamics and Projections," Journal of the American Statistical Association vol.81 no.393 (March 1986) pp.48-61. %TRogers, Andrei (1986) "Parameterized Multistate Population Dynamics and Projections," Journal of the American Statistical Association vol.81 no.393 (March 1986) pp.48-61. %TRogers, Andrei (1986) "Parameterized Multistate Population Dynamics and Projections," Journal of the American Statistical Association vol.81 no.393 (March 1986) pp.48-61. %TRonald Lee (1980) "An Historical Perspective on Economic Aspects of the Population Explosion: the Case of Pre-industrial England", in Richard Easterlin, ed., Population and Economic Change in Developing Countries (University of Chicago Press). Read only pages 517-520 and 541-546. This is a selection from the longer article. %TRonald Lee (1996) "Race-Ethnicity and Social Security Transfers: Who Gains and Who Loses?" manuscript. (Although implicit rates of return to Social Security contributions may be higher for members of ethnic minority groups in the US, viewed as groups rather than as individuals these groups transfer billions of dollars every year to the rest of the population through Social Security taxes in excess of benefits, due to their young age distributions.) 1) %TRonald Lee (1996) "Probabilistic Approaches to Population Forecasting", paper presented at a meeting at IIASA (Laxenburg, Austria) on Rethinking International Population Projections; under review. 7) %TRonald Lee (1996) "Una Perspectiva Transcultural de las Transferencias Interegeneracionales", Notas de Poblacion - Pensamiento Iberoamericano (March/April). 2) %TRonald Lee (forthcoming) "Intergenerational Relations and the Elderly", in Kenneth W. Wachter and Caleb Finch, eds., The Biodemography of Aging (National Academy of Sciences Press). %TRonald Lee (in press) "Population Dynamics: Equilibrium, Disequilibrium, and Consequences of Fluctuations", in Mark Rosenzweig and Oded Stark, eds., Handbook of Population and Family Economics (North Holland). (This is a survey article which discusses the literature on the effects of population age distribution fluctuations, among other things.) 8) %TRonald Lee (in press) "A Cross-Cultural Perspective on Intergenerational Transfers and the Economic Life Cycle," in Andrew Mason and Georges Tapinos, eds., Intergenerational Economic Relations and Demographic Change (Oxford University Press). 9) %TRonald Lee and Jonathan Skinner (1996) "Assessing Forecasts of Mortality, Health Status, and Health Costs During Baby-Boomers' Retirement," in C. Citro ed, Modeling the Impact of Public and Private Policies on Retirement Behavior and Income (Washington DC: National Academy of Sciences), pp.195-243. %TRonald Lee and Michael Anderson (1995) "Malthus in State Space: Reestimating Macro Economic-Demographic Relations in English History," Paper presented at the annual meetings of the Population Association of America, San Francisco, CA, April, 1995. 3) %TRonald Lee and Shripad Tuljapurkar (1996) "Stochastic Forecasts for Social Security" paper presented at the 1996 Annual Meetings of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, and in a later version at the Gerontological Association Meetings in Washington DC. %TRonald Lee and Shripad Tuljapurkar (in press) "Death and Taxes: Longer Life, Consumption, and Social Security" Demography. (Examines the way that changes in mortality affect the life cycle budget constraint, and the adjustments in consumption or labor that are required by mortality decline. 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(This is a technical paper; tough going for non-economists, who can skip it. An elegant synthesis of the field.)